Welcome to the TFC Commodity Trading Forum.
Please feel welcome to join in on these informative ongoing discussions about trading futures and commodities.

The Trading Forum is intended for the open discussion of commodities trading. The management of this Forum does not agree or disagree with the ideas exchanged, and does not exert editorial control over the message posted herein. Read and post at your own risk. The risk of loss in trading or commodities can be substantial. We discourage the use of this Forum to promote trading that is acknowledged to be risky. Please note: many links from the Forum lead to pages on other web sites. We cannot take responsibility for nor endorse the information presented on those sites.

TFC Commodity Trading Forum

Copper/At Important Resistance *PIC*

Here is a Copper chart from the lows in early 2009 to date with the SPX in Lt. blue overlaid to show the correlation. In Sept Copper broke down below the August and May lows as well as below the Nov/10 low at 3.68 that was a successful test of the breakout over the April/10 highs. Price retraced roughly 50% of the bull markets gains. Since selling off into the early Oct low price has been in a bullish Ascending Triangle coming back to this important 3.68 breakdown resistance point for the 3rd time. A breakout that holds above 3.68 would be very bullish. Meanwhile resistance is resistance and 3.68 is an important one. Price could typically pullback to its uptrendline once again before taking another run at 3.68. The SPX clearly tracks Copper as well. Note how Copper 'leads' and gives an early signal to what's next in the broad market. See the March 2009 SPX low and notice Copper made its low in Dec 2008 which was 'months' ahead of the SPX. That Nov/Dec low was the true low where you saw capitulation in the SPX and many other markets well ahead of March 2009. By March 2009 Copper had already begun its advance back to bull along with the major Copper stocks and other relative markets.