That's what I originally meant but then thought my post implied I was referring to the March contract. Yes the Feb was what I meant regarding closing price by. And then when the March options expire in Feb the same thing will apply with the majority of puts AND calls closing at a price point in Silver that will do the most financial damage to both. Won't know that til about one week before the options expire. Happens all the time. I'm sure a trading strategy could be applied one to two weeks 'before' the contract expires knowing the 'likelihood' of this pattern.