Yes your so right, from second to any time frame you can never know for sure what the next tick will be up or down. But you stuck your neck out and made a call out some kind of convection based on some reason. At the time there was no other reason than up if your following the yellow brick road
I am the same way. Until I see a change in the chart alerting me of something different I go with the trend. and the trend in beans is still up.
Like my Gold and silver call. these two market are in a corrective phase and price has not been hit yet. But the trend is still down. I may have to re adjust the call and probably will to a Fib. strategy entry.
Happy trading and wear that bear skin coat you have itr is Coooooooold brrrrrrr...