Hi Lee. Yah, I agree. Short term NG trends look to be generally down due to a consumption drop off during the shoulder season especially given the current weather pattern, As usual the tropics are the wild card. It does seem to me that the Gulf is at higer risk during the next 2 weeks than has been the case so far this tropical season but long range forecasts of tropical systems are not much better than a coin toss beyond about 5 days. So something needs to form first.