Welcome to the TFC Commodity Trading Forum.
Please feel welcome to join in on these informative ongoing discussions about trading futures and commodities.

The Trading Forum is intended for the open discussion of commodities trading. The management of this Forum does not agree or disagree with the ideas exchanged, and does not exert editorial control over the message posted herein. Read and post at your own risk. The risk of loss in trading or commodities can be substantial. We discourage the use of this Forum to promote trading that is acknowledged to be risky. Please note: many links from the Forum lead to pages on other web sites. We cannot take responsibility for nor endorse the information presented on those sites.

TFC Commodity Trading Forum

Re: Dec SUGAR/Back to Support/Trades

The main value in COT is to watch the Commercials, and the rest of the players for that matter, over ***long*** periods; longer than Software North data. It is only an insight into positioning, not an indicator in the sense of RSI, MACD, etc. I have run derivative studies on the data and found no use. It is only a heads up which requires price confirmation. A good example is GC, where Commercials have been heavy short for 2+ years; that combined with parabolic action along with declining OI suggests to take the Top Spring signal. By the way, the OI action is classic Edwards, and very important. Also important in the GC case is OI contraction on the correction so far which does not suggest initiation down. Keep up the good work. CO