The week after next ensembles suggest a typical La Nina pattern with below to well below average temperatures west of the eastern slopes of the Rockies; near average conditions over much of the east except above average over the NE and upper mid west. However, predicability in this sort of pattern declines rapidlly after 5-7 days and the development of specific storms in the Nov 14-21 period will affect the overall pattern greatly.

This week will see a cold front move lift out of the West through mid-week toward the upper midwest bringing rain and strong wind to North Texas and OK tomorrow and toward the upper midwest including Chicago by Wednesday morning. Thru the week temperatures over most of the west and central plains behind the front will start off cool but slowly moderate. A strong ridge will protect most of the East the first part of the week ( with ample sunshine and above average temperatures) but a cold front will bring showers and cooler conditions Thursday and Friday with a cold weekend start in store for the upper midwest and especially the Great lakes states and New England (with a risk of lake effect snow in Pennsylvania and New York near lakes Eire and Ontario, especially Friday afternoon-Saturday morning). Temperatures over the Gulf coast states and gulf coast regions of TX will remain seasonably mild as the deep cold air will remain well to the N thru the week.