Now, you have posted some words that one can get their teeth in and discuss !!!
"No it is not !! it is in the hands of supply and demand as always, also technical traders"
Please list in order of importance the areas that impact Demand at this point in time.
Please list in order of importance the areas that impact Supply at this point in time.
[If you like, you could include here events that normally occur August through November]
Frankly, your demand list would be a great start.
Then on the Technical point, a chart with an explanation of your rational for projected price movement.
Any meaningful contribution on any of the above would go a LONG WAY in CONTRIBUTING to the Ng Thread rather than posting a big NO without rational or explanation !!