I was thinking the same thing as politics rules. But I also keep thinking statistically no sitting president has ever been re-elected with a high unemployment rate and poor economics. EX:George Bush sr. won the Gulf war and was a shoe it to win a 2nd term but the economy turned down and his super war hero status couldn't overcome poor economics. I recall Republicans laughing at the time about who would dare run against G.Bush Sr as it was a given Bush would win again. And with the Republicans now controlling the House of Representatives they will likely cut off any money needed to spur a recovery just to accomplish this. All they have to do is say NO to everything with no funds and they get the perfect situation in Nov with a Republican President winning to go with the Republican House and with the mood of the public a Republican Senate likely to boot. I don't think Obama can win with the present situation. And he can't pull much off without a shit load of cash being spent. He and his dog just don't walk on water anymore. So the more ugly things get the more likely the Republicans will win the White House. That's my wild guess.