Welcome to the TFC Commodity Trading Forum.
Please feel welcome to join in on these informative ongoing discussions about trading futures and commodities.

The Trading Forum is intended for the open discussion of commodities trading. The management of this Forum does not agree or disagree with the ideas exchanged, and does not exert editorial control over the message posted herein. Read and post at your own risk. The risk of loss in trading or commodities can be substantial. We discourage the use of this Forum to promote trading that is acknowledged to be risky. Please note: many links from the Forum lead to pages on other web sites. We cannot take responsibility for nor endorse the information presented on those sites.

TFC Commodity Trading Forum

Re: May Crude/Continues to look bearish

Trades,
Thanks for the chart.
A few of the bloggers I follow are suggesting that you should go long, or stay long this market - but your chart, and my P&F chart are suggesting otherwise. One of the arguments they advance concerns the "seasonal" trade. Well.....it ain't happening here - that's for sure.
Tomorrow's inventory #'s might give us a better picture to work from , but I'll bet that Oil is headed lower.
It's been trading in a channel since the end of February - some are calling it a bull flag - but I have serious doubts about that.
The key here is the breaking trend line from September and the weakening trend line of the RSI. This is enough to convince me.
The trouble is that this market is so manipulated - a sudden spike could trash a short position.

Time will tell....

Thanks for the analysis!