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TFC Commodity Trading Forum

Re: Bad Years Keep Repeating/ STR

Yes I've thought of that making a huge chart across one wall type of thing. What concerns me is up until a decade or so ago the Feds didn't really use QE to pump up the market instantly like they now do. So the market would rise and fall with the economy more or less. So the question is what do you measure over the last 100 years that is consistent. I think using the GDP would be a better guide to chart than the Dow. But one would need a lot of data to study to check it all out. All I know for sure is years ending in 0,1,2 and 3 are poor economic times from what I have experienced. And it seems no one can change this trend that keeps repeating. The 3rd year things start to improve somewhat and continue into years 4,5,6,7,8 and 9 overall. Recall the low of the Dow in the depression was in July 1932 and then slowly started to improve along with the economy. Now with extreme financial issues world wide and high unemployment and deficit budgets the stock markets are hitting new multi year highs but all due to artificial means with the Feb keeping interest rates near 0 and pumping billions of dollars into the marketplace.