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TFC Commodity Trading Forum

Re: Thoughts ??? Trades/Artie *PIC*
In Response To: Re: Thoughts ??? Trades ()

I've been posting this chart for some time now with DX bumping up against its 3 month downtrendline. I put "WATCH" with the arrow on the downtrendline and then posted the breakout the other day. And as you can see prices on 'most' other markets are getting trashed ever since. I'm sure you can find lots of "stories" to explain the trashing all away but DX is the real story as usual. DX is now approaching 'price resistance' at 80.30 and 80.43 that it has to clear. The RSI 21 has been below the 50 line since early August and is also testing this line as resistance and needs to clear it. The Modified MACD has crossed positive and should continue to work its way higher although it is slower than most oscillators. October historically is a V or /\ month for many markets and a trend changing month. (sell in May and go away) Oct tends to see a major low at some point and many markets rally into spring. Lots of 'fundamental' reasons for this which I don't really care about. The chart will tell the story much better. So meanwhile DX is in a two point range between 78.67 and 80.43. While this doesn't seem like much any movement does have huge consequences. Wish DX was a 4 digit number which would make more sense relative to its effect on inverse markets. So price could chop around here in this two pt channel which would do the same to inverse markets until it breaks out or breaks down again. By clearing the 3 month downtrendline I don't believe it will break the recent lows but that's for DX to decide.
P.S. See Dec Corn track sideways in that tight range I mentioned for the last two weeks. That's what I was talking about. It will lull everyone to sleep and see traders get chopped up intraday and others get complacent and then KABOOM or KAPOW it will breakout or breakdown with traders scrambling once again. As I said some of these markets are almost psychotic in nature.