Welcome to the TFC Commodity Trading Forum.
Please feel welcome to join in on these informative ongoing discussions about trading futures and commodities.

The Trading Forum is intended for the open discussion of commodities trading. The management of this Forum does not agree or disagree with the ideas exchanged, and does not exert editorial control over the message posted herein. Read and post at your own risk. The risk of loss in trading or commodities can be substantial. We discourage the use of this Forum to promote trading that is acknowledged to be risky. Please note: many links from the Forum lead to pages on other web sites. We cannot take responsibility for nor endorse the information presented on those sites.

TFC Commodity Trading Forum

Computer test results, multiple contracts... *PIC*
In Response To: Re: Oops! Wrong question!! ()

I tested the concept of making bigger trades (more contracts) as your account grows.
I fed a montecarlo program 300 ES trades dating from Jan 07 to December 09.
The results in the image have a heading 'runs where equity dipped below -37'.
This means that if the initial account size was $3000, then the account would draw down
37 ES points ($1850) leaving only $1150 before the profits got the equity out of the dip.

When trading a single contract this happens 0.2% of the time.
However, with multiple contracts (up to 20) this only happens 0.32% of the time.
There is only a slight increase in risk created by doing this.
According to the test it seems well worth the risk to pile on extra contracts as your account grows in size.