Seems to me most things are in a holding pattern but I suppose when it does move one might expect it to act as it has...dollar went up...oil went down. Not much reason to think that would change or the inverse would not hold...oil up dollar down. One might expect if oil goes up the dollar might be at it's top. It may be that they are tied together like that or it may be that one will move independent of the other at times. It may be that oil appears to be ready to pop when in actuality it is only setting up a little larger sideways zone that is "in balance" relative to the dollars strength and neither moves one way or the other very much.

I don't know.

It's the "for all I know oil might go to 10" part that seems to kick every ones ass. If we knew that part the rest would be cake.