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TFC Commodity Trading Forum

Re: The trader's hours
In Response To: Re: The trader's hours ()

lol, yes she did.

So far the $SPX model is 100% accurate for 2013.

The sign in Row 2 matches the sign in row 3 perfectly in each week. How many more weeks will the predictor "work?" Or, will we stray from the model and follow the 2012 pattern? We are currently in week 11.

January February March April May June
WEEK 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
PREDIC + + + + + + + - + + + - + + + + + + - - + +
2013 4.57% 0.38% 0.95% 1.14% 0.68% 0.31% 0.12% -0.28% 0.17% 2.17% 0.32%
2012 1.61% 0.88% 2.04% 0.07% 2.17% -0.17% 1.38% 0.33% 0.28% 0.09% 2.43% -0.50% 0.81% -0.74% -1.99% 0.60% 1.80% -2.44% -1.15% -4.30% 1.74% -3.02%

Obviously weekly 11 is not finished yet. The percentage change will resolve by EOD Friday. 2013 feels like 2012. The last row above shows what happened in 2012 starting next week. We topped April 1 then dropped through June 1.

Integrating SPX Cycles into this. The 12 week would likely be a Daily Phase 1, so that would mean the current Daily Phase 1 would have to extend another 4 trading days, then in weeks 19 & 20 that would probably be a Weekly Phase 1, so the current Weekly Phase 1 would have to extend 7 weeks. That is very feasible.