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TFC Commodity Trading Forum

tropical update *PIC*

Strong hurricanes that move into the carribean and gomex often have their origns in western sub-saharan africa. The highest frequency of these so-called "cape verde" storms is in Aug and Sept. However, a strong Cape Verde tropical wave (waves are depressions that are poorly organized but have the potential to develop) moved off the west african coast yesterday and to me does seem like a reasonably good candidate to develop into a hurricane by next Sunday or Monday at the earliest. It is far too early to predict a track for this potential storm. Cape Verde type systems are more likely to enter the gomex than those that form over the eastern Carribean. I'll post further if and as circumstancs change.