Most models have shifted westward in their track which means a Mexican Landfall in several days. The Canadian model is a lone holdout, bringing Nate to New Orleans by Sunday night as a category 1 hurricane. With the preponderance of models suggesting a Louisiana landfall, i'm inclined to reject the Canadian solution but given the weak steering flow Nate is currently in, i'm not ready to do so yet, and tomorrow afternoon should bring a more definitive solution for this storm's track.