Welcome to the TFC Commodity Trading Forum.
Please feel welcome to join in on these informative ongoing discussions about trading futures and commodities.

The Trading Forum is intended for the open discussion of commodities trading. The management of this Forum does not agree or disagree with the ideas exchanged, and does not exert editorial control over the message posted herein. Read and post at your own risk. The risk of loss in trading or commodities can be substantial. We discourage the use of this Forum to promote trading that is acknowledged to be risky. Please note: many links from the Forum lead to pages on other web sites. We cannot take responsibility for nor endorse the information presented on those sites.

TFC Commodity Trading Forum

Natural gas *PIC*

First let me say kudos to Coral for his call for 3.25
Looks like its gonna be close anyways...good chance it gets there.

Fast forward to the present. There is a 7-10 day trade in place now as most of the back months (Dec is at 6 days presently) have 8 days continous (as of today) with lower lows and lower highs. And the charts look very much like an upside down parabolic move is taking place.
Combine this explosive chart pattern with the extreme sentiment, the washout of most all the small traders, the objective of 3.25 (ie. Coral) within reach, and above all the seasonals and you have a very very good contrarian play at hand.

A good play would be to buy way-out-of-the-money calls over the next coupla' days (I am) and see what happens.
Even a stopped clock is right twice a day, so give me a break lol.