Welcome to the TFC Commodity Trading Forum.
Please feel welcome to join in on these informative ongoing discussions about trading futures and commodities.

The Trading Forum is intended for the open discussion of commodities trading. The management of this Forum does not agree or disagree with the ideas exchanged, and does not exert editorial control over the message posted herein. Read and post at your own risk. The risk of loss in trading or commodities can be substantial. We discourage the use of this Forum to promote trading that is acknowledged to be risky. Please note: many links from the Forum lead to pages on other web sites. We cannot take responsibility for nor endorse the information presented on those sites.

TFC Commodity Trading Forum

Re: What about cocoa?
In Response To: Re: What about cocoa? ()

I am not sure what you mean by deforming the channel. I don't believe the turtles were concerned with channels in the technical sense of a commodity trading in a range bound area. I think it is simply a matter of determining the high and low over the last 20 and 55 days respectively. However, I would surmise that when cotton moves that that signal will be a stronger buy/sell signal when it occurs.

Although it is a simple system, I am having a helluva time calculating the stops.

Cocoa was interesting today as it marked the fifth day that it made a lower high and a lower low. It also rallied sharply off the bottom of the day and closed strongly in spite of bearish news. Additionally, if you check out TFC or barchart.com, all their technical indicators are bearish.

So, on one hand my head says:

The turtle geniuses say buy high and sell low. And their system is giving a sell signal.
Throughout all the interviews with the worlds best traders you will often hear them say that you should do the opposite of what everyone else is doing/saying.
And I have often read that if the market rallies on bad news or sinks on good news you should buy it/sell it.

So my brain is spinning...lol

My question is where would you place a stop on this market?