Lee, me thinks you are over-analyzing the natural gas market and trading of same. Being a weather trader, this happens in my business too. Too many maps and models and second-guessing which one is right. It takes a sharp mind to sort out the interference from all this modeling output to arrive at a realistic conclusion given the volume of data available. I think you're in that mode. The natural gas market is but a mere shadow of itself compared to the way it used to be not that long ago. Back then, natural gas was the purest weather market of them all. Not no more. How long have you been trading, in real dollars, the ng market? Things have drastically changed for those who could trade it and make quick fortunes based on knowing the new weather outlook. The last two Winters proved that beyond the imaginable. I guess I'm asking if you are a veteran ng trader or someone who searches the internet to learn the guts of the natural gas trade and trades a couple of e-minis and calls a 90 point range in a day wild?